Categories
Coronavirus Forecast

Key coronavirus forecast predicts over 410,000 total U.S. deaths by Jan. 1: ‘The worst is yet to come’ – CNBC

Roberto Arias prepares a grave for burial at Woodlawn Cemetery during the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Everett, Massachusetts, U.S., May 27, 2020.

Brian Snyder | Reutes

The U.S. will top more than 410,000 Covid-19 deaths by the end of the year as the country heads into the fall and winter, according to a new forecast from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington.

Covid-19 has already killed at least 186,800 people in the U.S., according to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University. The model by IHME, whose models have previously been cited by the White House and state officials, forecasts that the death toll will more than double by Jan. 1 and could reach as high as 620,000 if states aggressively ease coronavirus restrictions and people disregard public health guidance.

“The worst is yet to come. I don’t think perhaps that’s a surprise, although I think there’s a natural tendency as we’re a little bit in the Northern hemisphere summer, to think maybe the epidemic is going away,” Dr. Christopher Murray, director of IHME, told reporters on a conference call Friday.

In June, IHME predicted that the death toll in the U.S. would reach 200,000 by October, which appears to be on track. Some epidemiologists and mathematicians, however, have criticized IHME for making predictions too far into the future. 

IHME released three projections based on different assumptions: a worst-case scenario, a best-case scenario and a most likely scenario. The most likely scenario estimates that Covid-19 will kill 410,450 people in the U.S. by Jan. 1. The worst-case scenario, which assumes that restrictions and mask directives will ease, projects up to 620,028 people in the U.S. will die by then and the best-case scenario, which assumes universal masking, predicts that 288,380 people in the U.S. will die from Covid-19 in 2020.

Government policies and compliance among the public will largely determine how many people die of Covid-19 this fall and winter, Murray said. He added on a call that he believes there is a seasonal element to the virus, as with other coronaviruses, and that it will spread more easily in the colder Northern climates later in the year. 

“We are facing the prospect of a deadly December, especially in Europe, Central Asia, and the United States,” Murray said in a statement. “But the science is clear and the evidence irrefutable: mask-wearing, social distancing, and limits to social gatherings are vital to helping prevent transmission of the virus.”

On a call, Murray added that widespread mask use likely won’t be enough to drive down spread of the virus in the fall and winter. He said the question, from a policy perspective, is what kind of social distancing restrictions will be most effective, and there’s not enough public data to answer that question, he said.

Daily new cases of Covid-19 in the U.S. have fallen since they peaked in late July at more than 70,000 new cases per day. However, daily new cases appear to have plateaued again at over 40,000 new cases per day, a level of pervasive spread that top health officials have said is worrying headed into the fall. Despite the drop in new cases, the number of deaths caused by Covid-19 everyday in the U.S. has remained high, at nearly 1,000 new deaths per day, according to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University.

Murray said daily new cases, both globally and in the U.S., may continue to plateau or even drop through September, but they will likely rise come October.

The group projects the global death toll, which currently stands at 869,600, will rise to roughly 2.8 million by Jan. 1. The best-case scenario — where there’s widespread adoption of masks and other safety precautions — forecasts a worldwide death toll of more than 2 million. The worst case scenario predicts 4 million cumulative global deaths by the end of the year.

IHME’s latest forecast is based on the assumption that cooler weather in the Northern hemisphere and will have people spending more time indoors where the coronavirus more easily spreads, keeping the death toll high.

“People in the Northern Hemisphere must be especially vigilant as winter approaches, since the coronavirus, like pneumonia, will be more prevalent in cold climates,” Murray said.

IHME is one of several dozen modeling groups used by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to forecast the trajectory of the pandemic. The CDC gathers projections from dozens of major modelling groups and creates their own “ensemble forecast.”

The CDC’s most recent forecast, published on Thursday, projects that “deaths may decrease nationally over the next four weeks, with 3,300 to 7,500 new deaths reported during the week ending September 26.” It does not provide projections beyond that week.

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Categories
-area Forecast

D.C.-area forecast: Laura’s remnants pass with a shower and storm threat today – The Washington Post

10:05 a.m. — Showers, downpours through mid-afternoon

Radar shows widespread showers sweeping through the region, the remnants of former Hurricane Laura. Some locally heavy downpours are embedded within these showers.

The showers are likely to continue through about mid-afternoon before exiting with skies brightening. At the moment, we do not see a major risk of severe thunderstorms or tornadoes, as the atmosphere will not have the opportunity to destabilize much. We will continue monitoring and will update if there is any significant thunderstorm development.

We should expect about another 0.25 to 0.5 inches of rain or so on top of what has fallen since yesterday afternoon. Most areas have received between 1 to 2 inches (Reagan National 1.72 inches, Dulles 1.44 inches and BWI Marshall 0.9 inches) with some pockets up to 2 to 4 inches east and southeast of the Beltway.

Today’s daily digit

A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

6/10: Not the worst … as long as rain doesn’t linger too long.

Express forecast

  • Today: Numerous showers through mid-afternoon. Highs: Mid-80s.
  • Tonight: Clearing. Lows: Mid-60s to around 70.
  • Tomorrow: Mostly sunny. Highs: Low 80s.

Forecast in detail

We’ve had all kinds of weather in recent days. Perhaps that means a hurricane is the logical next step. Well … it’s not quite a hurricane, but the remnants of the historic storm called Laura are moving by the region today. That means more rain is likely to fall, and some may come with severe weather. Once past those concerns, Sunday is looking mighty pleasant.

Today (Saturday): While the main portion of Laura’s remnants moves to our south, it infuses a front passing the region with additional moisture and spin. Some showers and storms seem a good bet, especially through midday into early afternoon. There should be some clearing late as highs reach the mid-80s. Winds are from the southwest around 5 to 10 mph. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: A few showers or storms could linger into the evening. Otherwise, skies are clearing as temperatures fall to the mid- and upper 60s for lows. Confidence: Medium-High

Follow us on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram for the latest weather updates. Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend …

Tomorrow (Sunday): It’s rather nice overall. For now, a little questionable on cloud cover for the actual Nice Day stamp, so we’ll hold for now. Humidity is on the low side and there is a good deal of sun. Highs are mainly in the low 80s. Confidence: Medium-High

Tomorrow night: There should be a fair amount of stars early in the night, with increasing clouds likely over time. I’d guess we stay dry, but it’s not impossible a few showers are around by dawn. Lows range from near 60 to the mid-60s. Confidence: High

A look ahead

Clouds and rain odds increase Monday, especially deeper into the second half. There is some chance heavy rain moves through, heading into the night — far from certain at this point though. Highs shoot for the upper 70s and lower 80s. Confidence: Medium

Coming off rain-cooled lows in the 60s, gray skies and some drips may persist into Tuesday. I’d think most of the rain is done by daylight, but clouds could be quite slow to depart. Temperatures rise to around 80. Confidence: Medium

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Categories
Feinberg Forecast

Feinberg Forecast: 2020 Emmy Predictions – Hollywood Reporter

The Hollywood Reporter’s awards columnist dissects 23 categories, some of which are now set to have more or fewer nominees due to a TV Academy rule change.

Jeremy Strong on 'Succession'

Jeremy Strong on ‘Succession’

Courtesy of HBO

These projections by THR awards columnist Scott Feinberg reflect widespread sampling of episodes, historical considerations, precursor awards and consultations with industry insiders. They will be updated regularly to reflect new developments, and more categories may be added.

  • 'The Handmaid's Tale'

    ‘The Handmaid’s Tale’

    Sophie Giraud/Hulu

    FRONTRUNNERS

    Succession (HBO)


    Ozark (Netflix)


    The Crown (Netflix)


    Better Call Saul (AMC)


    The Handmaid’s Tale (Hulu)


    The Morning Show (Apple TV+)


    This Is Us (NBC)


    Westworld (HBO)

    MAJOR THREATS

    Killing Eve (BBC America)


    Pose (FX)


    Big Little Lies (HBO)


    The Outsider (HBO)


    Homeland (Showtime)


    Stranger Things (Netflix)


    Black Mirror (Netflix)

    POSSIBILITIES

    The Good Fight (CBS All Access)


    Mr. Robot (USA)


    Euphoria (HBO)


    The Mandalorian (Disney+)


    Hunters (Amazon)


    Luther (BBC America)


    Homecoming (Amazon)

    LONG SHOTS

    On Becoming a God in Central Florida (Showtime)


    Yellowstone (Paramount Network)


    Mindhunter (Netflix)


    Billions (Showtime)


    Outlander (Starz)


    My Brilliant Friend (HBO)


    The New Pope (HBO)

  • 'Insecure'

    ‘Insecure’

    Merie W. Wallace/HBO

    FRONTRUNNERS

    The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (Amazon)


    Schitt’s Creek (Pop)


    Curb Your Enthusiasm (HBO)


    Insecure (HBO)


    Dead to Me (Netflix)


    The Good Place (NBC)


    The Kominsky Method (Netflix)


    Better Things (FX)

    MAJOR THREATS

    Zoey’s Extraordinary Playlist (NBC)


    Ramy (Hulu)


    What We Do in the Shadows (FX)


    The Great (Hulu)


    Black-ish (ABC)


    Silicon Valley (HBO)


    Dave (FX)


    Modern Family (ABC)


    Run (HBO)

    POSSIBILITIES

    The Politician (Netflix)


    Dickinson (Apple TV+)


    Space Force (Netflix)


    Baskets (FX)


    Sex Education (Netflix)


    Little America (Apple TV+)


    GLOW (Netflix)


    Upload (Amazon)

    LONG SHOTS

    Modern Love (Amazon)


    Mythic Quest: Raven’s Banquet (Apple TV+)


    Never Have I Ever (Netflix)


    The Righteous Gemstones (HBO)


    High Fidelity (Hulu)


    Shameless (Showtime)


    Everything’s Gonna Be Okay (Freeform)


    Love Life (HBO Max)

  • 'The Plot Against America'

    ‘The Plot Against America’

    Michele K. Short/HBO

    FRONTRUNNERS

    Unbelievable (Netflix)


    Watchmen (HBO)


    Mrs. America (FX on Hulu)


    The Plot Against America (HBO)


    Little Fires Everywhere (Hulu)

    MAJOR THREATS

    Hollywood (Netflix)


    Normal People (Hulu)


    Unorthodox (Netflix)


    I Know This Much Is True (HBO)


    The Loudest Voice (Showtime)


    Catherine the Great (HBO)


    Defending Jacob (Apple TV+)

    POSSIBILITIES

    Years and Years (HBO)


    Devs (FX on Hulu)


    The Eddy (Netflix)


    The Spy (Netflix)


    Mrs. Fletcher (HBO)


    Quiz (AMC)


    Belgravia (Epix)

    LONG SHOTS

    American Horror Story: 1984 (FX)


    Our Boys (HBO)


    Castle Rock (Hulu)


    ZeroZeroZero (Amazon)


    Barkskins (NatGeo)


    The Terror (AMC)


    Miracle Workers (TBS)

  • 'Patsy and Loretta'

    ‘Patsy and Loretta’

    Jake Giles Netter/A+E Networks

    FRONTRUNNERS

    Bad Education (HBO)


    El Camino: A Breaking Bad Movie (Netflix)


    The Clark Sisters: First Ladies of Gospel (Lifetime)


    American Son (Netflix)


    Patsy and Loretta (Lifetime)

    MAJOR THREATS

    Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt: Kimmy vs. the Reverend (Netflix)


    Transparent: Musicale Finale (Amazon)

    POSSIBILITIES

    Togo (Disney+)


    Blow the Man Down (Amazon)

    LONG SHOTS

    Selah and the Spades (Amazon)


    Stolen by My Mother: The Kamiyah Mobley Story (Lifetime)

  • Sterling K. Brown, left, on 'This Is Us'

    Sterling K. Brown, left, on ‘This Is Us’

    Ron Batzdorff/NBC

    FRONTRUNNERS

    Jason Bateman (Ozark) — podcast


    Bob Odenkirk (Better Call Saul) — podcast


    Billy Porter (Pose) — podcast


    Sterling K. Brown (This Is Us) — podcast


    Brian Cox (Succession)


    Jeremy Strong (Succession) — podcast

    MAJOR THREATS

    Tobias Menzies (The Crown)


    Milo Ventimiglia (This Is Us) — podcast


    Ben Mendelsohn (The Outsider)


    Aaron Paul (Westworld)


    Steve Carell (The Morning Show) — podcast


    Al Pacino (Hunters) — podcast


    Rami Malek (Mr. Robot) — podcast

    POSSIBILITIES

    Patrick Stewart (Star Trek: Picard)


    Idris Elba (Luther) — podcast


    Justin Hartley (This Is Us)


    Liev Schreiber (Ray Donovan)


    Jonathan Groff (Mindhunter)


    Pedro Pascal (The Mandalorian)


    Kevin Costner (Yellowstone)

    LONG SHOTS

    Stephan James (Homecoming) — podcast


    John Krasinski (Jack Ryan) — podcast


    Matt Bomer (The Sinner)


    Bill Pullman (The Sinner)


    Forest Whitaker (Godfather of Harlem)


    John Malkovich (The New Pope)


    Sam Heughan (Outlander)

  • Jodie Comer on 'Killing Eve'

    Jodie Comer on ‘Killing Eve’

    Courtesy of Sid Gentle Films/BBC America

    FRONTRUNNERS

    Laura Linney (Ozark)


    Olivia Colman (The Crown) — podcast


    Elisabeth Moss (The Handmaid’s Tale) — podcast


    Jodie Comer (Killing Eve)


    Sandra Oh (Killing Eve)


    Jennifer Aniston (The Morning Show)

    MAJOR THREATS

    Reese Witherspoon (The Morning Show) — podcast


    Claire Danes (Homeland) — podcast


    Mandy Moore (This Is Us) — podcast


    Evan Rachel Wood (Westworld)


    Nicole Kidman (Big Little Lies) — podcast


    Reese Witherspoon (Big Little Lies) — podcast

    POSSIBILITIES

    Zendaya (Euphoria)


    Janelle Monáe (Homecoming) — podcast


    Viola Davis (How to Get Away With Murder)


    Christine Baranski (The Good Fight)


    Kirsten Dunst (On Becoming a God in Central Florida)


    Winona Ryder (Stranger Things)

    LONG SHOTS

    Mj Rodriguez (Pose)


    Ruth Wilson (Luther)


    Caitriona Balfe (Outlander)


    Angela Bassett (911)


    Kristen Bell (Veronica Mars)


    Dafne Keen (His Dark Materials)

  • Bradley Whitford on 'The Handmaid's Tale'

    Bradley Whitford on ‘The Handmaid’s Tale’

    Hulu/Photofest

    FRONTRUNNERS

    Jonathan Banks (Better Call Saul)


    Kieran Culkin (Succession)


    Bradley Whitford (The Handmaid’s Tale)


    Jeffrey Wright (Westworld)


    Ed Harris (Westworld)


    Billy Crudup (The Morning Show)


    David Harbour (Stranger Things)


    Tom Pelphrey (Ozark)

    MAJOR THREATS

    Matthew Macfadyen (Succession)


    Josh O’Connor (The Crown)


    Mandy Patinkin (Homeland)


    Joseph Fiennes (The Handmaid’s Tale)


    Mark Duplass (The Morning Show)


    Alexander Skarsgard (Big Little Lies)


    Giancarlo Esposito (Better Call Saul) — podcast

    POSSIBILITIES

    Tony Dalton (Better Call Saul)


    Nicholas Braun (Succession)


    Alan Ruck (Succession)


    Adam Scott (Big Little Lies)


    Ben Daniels (The Crown)


    Christian Slater (Mr. Robot)


    BD Wong (Mr. Robot)

    LONG SHOTS

    Delroy Lindo (The Good Fight)


    Chris Sullivan (This Is Us)


    Jon Voight (Ray Donovan)


    Alan Alda (Ray Donovan) — podcast


    Vincent Cassel (Westworld)


    Jude Law (The New Pope)


    Chris Messina (The Sinner)

  • Rhea Seehorn on 'Better Call Saul'

    Rhea Seehorn on ‘Better Call Saul’

    AMC/Sony Pictures Television

    FRONTRUNNERS

    Julia Garner (Ozark)


    Helena Bonham Carter (The Crown)


    Meryl Streep (Big Little Lies) — podcast


    Laura Dern (Big Little Lies)


    Ann Dowd (The Handmaid’s Tale)


    Rhea Seehorn (Better Call Saul) — podcast


    Cynthia Erivo (The Outsider) — podcast


    Thandie Newton (Westworld)

    MAJOR THREATS

    Sarah Snook (Succession)


    Fiona Shaw (Killing Eve)


    Janet McTeer (Ozark)


    Yvonne Strahovski (The Handmaid’s Tale)


    Tessa Thompson (Westworld)


    Gugu Mbatha-Raw (The Morning Show)


    Millie Bobby Brown (Stranger Things)

    POSSIBILITIES

    Uzo Aduba (Orange Is the New Black)


    Susan Kelechi Watson (This Is Us)


    Hong Chau (Homecoming)


    Mare Winningham (The Outsider)


    Julianne Nicholson (The Outsider)


    Zoe Kravitz (Big Little Lies)


    Shailene Woodley (Big Little Lies)

    LONG SHOTS

    Hunter Schafer (Euphoria)


    Chrissy Metz (This Is Us)


    Phylicia Rashad (David Makes Man)


    Holly Hunter (Succession)


    J. Smith-Cameron (Succession)


    Cush Jumbo (The Good Fight)


    Audra McDonald (The Good Fight)

  • Larry David on 'Curb Your Enthusiasm'

    Larry David on ‘Curb Your Enthusiasm’

    HBO Max

    FRONTRUNNERS

    Eugene Levy (Schitt’s Creek) — podcast


    Ted Danson (The Good Place) — podcast


    Michael Douglas (The Kominsky Method)


    Larry David (Curb Your Enthusiasm)


    Anthony Anderson (Black-ish)


    Ramy Youssef (Ramy)

    MAJOR THREATS

    Zach Galifianakis (Baskets)


    Ben Platt (The Politician) — podcast


    Dave Burd (Dave)


    Don Cheadle (Black Monday)


    Ricky Gervais (After Life) — podcast


    Rob McElhenney (Mythic Quest: Raven’s Banquet)


    Domhnall Gleeson (Run)


    Steve Carell (Space Force) — podcast

    POSSIBILITIES

    Asa Butterfield (Sex Education)


    Matt Berry (What We Do in the Shadows)


    Kayvan Novak (What We Do in the Shadows)


    William H. Macy (Shameless)


    Thomas Middleditch (Silicon Valley)


    John Goodman (The Conners)


    Eric McCormack (Will and Grace)


    Hugh Laurie (Avenue 5)


    Bashir Salahuddin (Sherman’s Showcase)

    LONG SHOTS

    Danny McBride (The Righteous Gemstones)


    Paul Rudd (Living With Yourself)


    Martin Freeman (Breeders)


    Walton Goggins (The Unicorn)


    Jim Carrey (Kidding)


    Wyatt Russell (Lodge 49)


    Tracy Morgan (The Last O.G.) — podcast


    Andy Samberg (Brooklyn Nine-Nine)

  • Jane Levy on 'Zoey's Extraordinary Playlist'

    Jane Levy on ‘Zoey’s Extraordinary Playlist’

    Sergei Bachlakov/NBC

    FRONTRUNNERS

    Rachel Brosnahan (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel) — podcast


    Catherine O’Hara (Schitt’s Creek) — podcast


    Issa Rae (Insecure)


    Christina Applegate (Dead to Me)


    Linda Cardellini (Dead to Me)


    Jane Levy (Zoey’s Extraordinary Playlist)

    MAJOR THREATS

    Pamela Adlon (Better Things)


    Elle Fanning (The Great)


    Merritt Wever (Run)


    Robin Thede (A Black Lady Sketch Show) — podcast


    Tracee Ellis Ross (Black-ish) — podcast


    Lily Tomlin (Grace and Frankie) — podcast


    Jane Fonda (Grace and Frankie) — podcast

    POSSIBILITIES

    Kristen Bell (The Good Place)


    Alison Brie (GLOW) — podcast


    Natasia Demetriou (What We Do in the Shadows)


    Hailee Steinfeld (Dickinson) — podcast


    Allison Janney (Mom) — podcast


    Aidy Bryant (Shrill) — podcast


    Awkwafina (Nora From Queens) — podcast

    LONG SHOTS

    Abby McEnany (Work in Progress)


    Zoe Kravitz (High Fidelity)


    Daisy Haggard (Breeders)


    Maitreyi Ramakrishnan (Never Have I Ever)


    Charlotte Nicdao (Mythic Quest: Raven’s Banquet)


    Gwyneth Paltrow (The Politician)


    Anna Kendrick (Love Life)

  • Louie Anderson on 'Baskets'

    Louie Anderson on ‘Baskets’

    Erica Parise/FX

    FRONTRUNNERS

    Tony Shalhoub (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel)


    Alan Arkin (The Kominsky Method)


    Dan Levy (Schitt’s Creek)


    Louie Anderson (Baskets)


    Sterling K. Brown (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel) — podcast


    Michael Zegen (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel)


    Nicholas Hoult (The Great)


    Peter Gallagher (Zoey’s Extraordinary Playlist)

    MAJOR THREATS

    Alec Baldwin (Saturday Night Live)


    Kenan Thompson (Saturday Night Live) — podcast


    Kevin Pollak (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel)


    Paul Reiser (The Kominsky Method)


    Ty Burrell (Modern Family)


    Eric Stonestreet (Modern Family)


    Jesse Tyler Ferguson (Modern Family)


    Ed O’Neill (Modern Family)

    POSSIBILITIES

    Marc Maron (GLOW) — podcast


    Chris Elliott (Schitt’s Creek)


    Noah Reid (Schitt’s Creek)


    Mahershala Ali (Ramy) — podcast


    Jay Ellis (Insecure)

    LONG SHOTS

    GaTa (Dave)


    Andrew Scott (Modern Love)


    John Goodman (The Righteous Gemstones)


    Walton Goggins (The Righteous Gemstones)


    Leroy McClain (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel)


    Ncuti Gatwa (Sex Education)

  • Betty Gilpin, right, on 'GLOW'

    Betty Gilpin, right, on ‘GLOW’

    Courtesy of Netflix

    FRONTRUNNERS

    Alex Borstein (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel)


    Kate McKinnon (Saturday Night Live)


    Jane Lynch (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel)


    Marin Hinkle (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel)


    Annie Murphy (Schitt’s Creek)


    Betty Gilpin (GLOW)


    Yvonne Orji (Insecure)


    Rita Moreno (One Day at a Time)

    MAJOR THREATS

    Lauren Graham (Zoey’s Extraordinary Playlist)


    D’Arcy Carden (The Good Place)


    Megan Mullally (Will and Grace)


    Gillian Anderson (Sex Education)


    Lisa Kudrow (Space Force)


    Jameela Jamil (The Good Place)


    Julie Bowen (Modern Family)


    Sofia Vergara (Modern Family)

    POSSIBILITIES

    Hiam Abbass (Ramy)


    Laurie Metcalf (The Conners)


    Jane Krakowski (Dickinson)


    Mary Steenburgen (Zoey’s Extraordinary Playlist)


    Emily Hampshire (Schitt’s Creek)


    Aidy Bryant (Saturday Night Live) — podcast


    Cecily Strong (Saturday Night Live)

    LONG SHOTS

    Archie Panjabi (Run)


    Jessica Lange (The Politician)


    Penelope Wilton (After Life)


    Anne Hathaway (Modern Love)


    Tina Fey (Modern Love)


    Lisa Edelstein (The Kominsky Method)


    Nancy Travis (The Kominsky Method)


    Jane Seymour (The Kominsky Method)

  • Russell Crowe on 'The Loudest Voice'

    Russell Crowe on ‘The Loudest Voice’

    JoJo Whilden/SHOWTIME

    FRONTRUNNERS

    Mark Ruffalo (I Know This Much Is True)


    Hugh Jackman (Bad Education) — podcast


    Aaron Paul (El Camino)


    Russell Crowe (The Loudest Voice)


    Paul Mescal (Normal People)

    MAJOR THREATS

    Chris Evans (Defending Jacob) — podcast


    Jeremy Irons (Watchmen)


    Jeremy Pope (Hollywood)


    Sacha Baron Cohen (The Spy) — podcast


    Andre Holland (The Eddy)

    POSSIBILITIES

    Nick Offerman (Devs)


    David Corenswet (Hollywood)


    Anthony Mackie (Black Mirror: Striking Vipers)


    Morgan Spector (The Plot Against America)


    Matthew Macfadyen (Quiz)

    LONG SHOTS

    Rory Kinnear (Years and Years)


    Willem Dafoe (Togo) — podcast


    Jason Segel (Dispatches From Elsewhere) — podcast


    David Thewlis (Barkskins)


    Woody Harrelson (Live in Front of a Studio Audience: All in the Family and Good Times)

  • Aunjanue Ellis on 'The Clark Sisters: First Ladies of Gospel'

    Aunjanue Ellis on ‘The Clark Sisters: First Ladies of Gospel’

    Amanda Matlovich/A+E Networks

    FRONTRUNNERS

    Cate Blanchett (Mrs. America)


    Regina King (Watchmen)


    Merritt Wever (Unbelievable)


    Kaitlyn Dever (Unbelievable) — podcast


    Aunjanue Ellis (The Clark Sisters: First Ladies of Gospel)

    MAJOR THREATS

    Reese Witherspoon (Little Fires Everywhere) — podcast


    Kerry Washington (Little Fires Everywhere) — podcast


    Shira Haas (Unorthodox)


    Daisy Edgar-Jones (Normal People)


    Zoe Kazan (The Plot Against America)


    Helen Mirren (Catherine the Great) — podcast

    POSSIBILITIES

    Kerry Washington (American Son) — podcast


    Ellie Kemper (Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt: Kimmy vs. the Reverend)


    Kathryn Hahn (Mrs. Fletcher)


    Jessie Mueller (Patsy and Loretta)


    Megan Hilty (Patsy and Loretta)


    Judith Light (Transparent: Musicale Finale) — podcast

    LONG SHOTS

    Michelle Dockery (Defending Jacob)


    Sonoya Mizuno (Devs)


    Sian Clifford (Quiz)


    Niecy Nash (Stolen by My Mother: The Kamiyah Mobley Story)


    Marisa Tomei (Live in Front of a Studio Audience: All in the Family and Good Times)


    Viola Davis (Live in Front of a Studio Audience: All in the Family and Good Times)

  • Tim Blake Nelson on 'Watchmen'

    Tim Blake Nelson on ‘Watchmen’

    Courtesy of HBO

    FRONTRUNNERS

    Jim Parsons (Hollywood)


    John Turturro (The Plot Against America) — podcast


    Tim Blake Nelson (Watchmen)


    Jesse Plemons (El Camino) — podcast


    Tituss Burgess (Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt: Kimmy vs. the Reverend)


    Darren Criss (Hollywood) — podcast

    MAJOR THREATS

    Joe Mantello (Hollywood) — podcast


    Dylan McDermott (Hollywood)


    Ray Romano (Bad Education)


    Yahya Abdul-Mateen II (Watchmen)


    John Slattery (Mrs. America)


    Jason Clarke (Catherine the Great)


    Michael Sheen (Quiz)

    POSSIBILITIES

    Jaeden Martell (Defending Jacob)


    Tahar Rahim (The Eddy)


    Joshua Jackson (Little Fires Everywhere)


    Jake Picking (Hollywood)


    Daniel Radcliffe (Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt: Kimmy vs. the Reverend)


    Jon Hamm (Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt: Kimmy vs. the Reverend)

    LONG SHOTS

    Ike Barinholtz (Live in Front of a Studio Audience: All in the Family and Good Times)


    Asante Blackk (Live in Front of a Studio Audience: All in the Family and Good Times)



    Richard E. Grant (Dispatches From Elsewhere) — podcast


    Jharrel Jerome (Selah and the Spades)


    Jay Duplass (Transparent: Musicale Finale)

  • Rose Byrne on 'Mrs. America'

    Rose Byrne on ‘Mrs. America’

    Courtesy of FX

    FRONTRUNNERS

    Jean Smart (Watchmen)


    Toni Collette (Unbelievable)


    Sarah Paulson (Mrs. America)


    Rose Byrne (Mrs. America)


    Uzo Aduba (Mrs. America)


    Tracey Ullman (Mrs. America)

    MAJOR THREATS

    Margo Martindale (Mrs. America)


    Allison Janney (Bad Education) — podcast


    Winona Ryder (The Plot Against America)


    Melissa Leo (I Know This Much Is True)


    Kathryn Hahn (I Know This Much Is True)


    Holland Taylor (Hollywood)


    Patti LuPone (Hollywood) — podcast


    Naomi Watts (The Loudest Voice)


    Sienna Miller (The Loudest Voice)

    POSSIBILITIES

    Hong Chau (Watchmen)


    Elizabeth Banks (Mrs. America)


    Rosie O’Donnell (I Know This Much Is True)


    Emma Thompson (Years and Years)


    Jane Krakowski (Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt: Kimmy vs. The Reverend)


    Carol Kane (Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt: Kimmy vs. The Reverend)


    Mira Sorvino (Hollywood)


    Samara Weaving (Hollywood)


    Laura Harrier (Hollywood)

    LONG SHOTS

    Sally Field (Dispatches From Elsewhere) — podcast


    Tiffany Haddish (Live in Front of a Studio Audience: All in the Family and Good Times)


    Corinne Foxx (Live in Front of a Studio Audience: All in the Family and Good Times)


    Lexi Underwood (Little Fires Everywhere)


    Jade Pettyjohn (Little Fires Everywhere)


    Tiffany Boone (Little Fires Everywhere)


    Amandla Stenberg (The Eddy)


    Alison Pill (Devs)

  • 'At Home With Amy Sedaris'

    ‘At Home With Amy Sedaris’

    Courtesy of TM & Turner Entertainment Networks, Inc. A Time Warner Company

    FRONTRUNNERS

    Saturday Night Live (NBC) — podcast (Lorne Michaels)


    A Black Lady Sketch Show (HBO) — podcast (Robin Thede)


    Drunk History (Comedy Central)


    At Home With Amy Sedaris (truTV)

    MAJOR THREATS

    The Iliza Shlesinger Sketch Show (Netflix)


    Sherman’s Showcase (IFC)


    Tiffany Haddish Presents: They Ready (Netflix)


    Astronomy Club: The Sketch Show (Netflix)

    POSSIBILITIES

    The Degenerates (Netflix)


    Alternatino With Arturo Castro (Comedy Central)


    Tosh.0
    (Comedy Central)

    LONG SHOTS

    Crank Yankers (Comedy Central)


    Baroness von Sketch Show (IFC)


    This Week at the Comedy Cellar (Comedy Central)


    Comedy Central Stand-Up Presents (Comedy Central)

  • 'Hannah Gadsby: Douglas'

    ‘Hannah Gadsby: Douglas’

    Courtesy of Netflix

    FRONTRUNNERS

    Dave Chappelle: Sticks & Stones (Netflix)


    Mel Brooks: Unwrapped (HBO)


    Hannah Gadsby: Douglas (Netflix) — podcast (Hannah Gadsby)


    Homefest: James Corden’s Late Late Show (CBS) — podcast (James Corden)


    Jerry Seinfeld: 23 Hours to Kill (Netflix) — podcast (Jerry Seinfeld)

    MAJOR THREATS

    The Kennedy Center Honors (PBS)


    A Parks and Recreation Special (NBC)


    Graduate Together: America Honors the High School Class of 2020 (syndicated)


    Ben Platt: Live from Radio City Music Hall (Netflix) — podcast (Ben Platt)


    AFI Life Achievement Award: A Tribute to Denzel Washington (TNT) — podcast (Denzel Washington)


    Taylor Swift: City of Lover (ABC)


    The Happy Days of Garry Marshall (ABC)


    Sermon on the Mount (HBO) — podcast (Jerrod Carmichael)


    Ramy Youssef: Feelings (HBO)


    The Comedy Central Roast of Alec Baldwin (Comedy Central)


    John Mulaney: The Sack Lunch Bunch (Netflix)


    Patton Oswalt: I Love Everything (Netflix)


    Great Performances: Much Ado About Nothing (PBS)


    Sesame Street: Elmo’s Playdate (HBO)

    POSSIBILITIES

    Seth Meyers: Lobby Baby (Netflix) — podcast (Seth Meyers)


    Dave Chappelle: The Kennedy Center Mark Twain Prize (PBS)


    The Story of Soaps (ABC)


    Middleditch & Schwartz (Netflix)


    Bill Burr: Paper Tiger (Netflix)


    Aziz Ansari: Right Now (Netflix) — podcast (Aziz Ansari)


    Sincerely Louis C.K. (LouisCK.com) — podcast (Louis C.K.)


    Saturday Night Seder (SaturdayNightSeder.com)


    Garth Brooks: The Library of Congress Gershwin Prize for Popular Song (PBS)


    Leslie Jones: Time Machine (Netflix)


    Tiffany Haddish: Black Mitzvah (Netflix)


    Jim Gaffigan: Quality Time (Amazon)


    Whitmer Thomas: The Golden One (HBO)


    Lil Rel Howery: Live in Crenshaw (HBO)

    LONG SHOTS

    Dan Soder: Son of a Gary (HBO)


    Gary Gulman: The Great Depresh (HBO)


    Savage Fenty Show (Amazon)


    Ilana Glazer: The Planet Is Burning (Amazon)


    Michelle Wolf: Joke Show (Netflix)


    The Kacey Musgraves Christmas Show (Amazon)


    Marc Maron: End Times Fun (Netflix) — podcast (Marc Maron)


    Rob Delaney: Jackie (Amazon)


    Holidays With the Houghs (NBC)


    Pete Davidson: Alive from New York (Netflix)


    Brad Paisley Thinks He’s Special (ABC)


    Alice Wetterlund: My Mama Is A Human and So Am I (Amazon)


    Daniel Sloss: X (HBO)


    Jimmy O. Yang: Good Deal (Amazon)

  • 'Super Bowl LIV Halftime Show'

    ‘Super Bowl LIV Halftime Show’

    Jeff Kravitz/FilmMagic

    FRONTRUNNERS

    Live in Front of a Studio Audience: All in the Family and Good Times (ABC) — podcast (Norman Lear) & podcast (Jimmy Kimmel)


    The 62nd Grammy Awards (CBS)


    The Oscars (ABC)


    Super Bowl LIV Halftime Show (CBS) — podcast (Jennifer Lopez)

    MAJOR THREATS

    The 73rd Tony Awards (CBS) — podcast (James Corden)


    The 77th Annual Golden Globe Awards (NBC) — podcast (Ricky Gervais)


    One World: Together at Home (syndicated)


    Garth & Trisha Live! (CBS)

    POSSIBILITIES

    Take Me to the World: A Sondheim 90th Birthday Celebration (Broadway.com)


    The Disney Family Singalong: Volume II (ABC)


    The Disney Family Singalong: Volume I (ABC)

    LONG SHOTS

    The Little Mermaid Live! (ABC)


    Fox Presents the iHeart Living Room Concert for America (Fox)


    Dick Clark’s New Years Rockin’ Eve 2019 With Ryan Seacrest (ABC) — podcast (Ryan Seacrest)


    Yellowstone Live (NatGeo)

  • 'Country Music'

    ‘Country Music’

    Telluride Film Festival

    FRONTRUNNERS

    The Last Dance (ESPN)


    Tiger King: Murder, Mayhem and Madness (Netflix)


    Hillary (Hulu)


    Country Music (PBS)


    McMillions (HBO)

    MAJOR THREATS

    Cosmos: Possible Worlds (NatGeo)


    The Trials of Gabriel Fernandez (Netflix)


    Jeffrey Epstein: Filthy Rich (Netflix)


    The Innocence Files (Netflix)


    Dirty Money (Netflix)


    Serengeti (Discovery)


    Atlanta’s Missing and Murdered: The Lost Children (HBO)


    Visible: Out on Television (Apple TV+)

    POSSIBILITIES

    Don’t F**k With Cats: Hunting an Internet Killer (Netflix)


    Terrence McNally: Every Act of Life (PBS)


    Trial By Media (Netflix)


    Home (Apple TV+)


    The Last Narc (Amazon)


    Shangri-La (Showtime)


    Murder in the Bayou (Showtime)


    Inside Bill’s Brain: Decoding Bill Gates (Netflix) — podcast (Davis Guggenheim & Bill Gates)

    LONG SHOTS

    The Imagineering Story (Disney+)


    How to Fix a Drug Scandal (Netflix)


    The Devil Next Door (Netflix)


    The Family (Netflix)


    Ted Bundy: Falling for a Killer (Amazon)


    Free Meek (Amazon)


    Killer Inside: The Mind of Aaron Hernandez (Netflix)


    Regular Heroes (Amazon)

  • 'Natalie Wood: What Remains Behind'

    ‘Natalie Wood: What Remains Behind’

    Courtesy of Sundance

    FRONTRUNNERS

    Becoming (Netflix)


    Beastie Boys Story (Apple TV+)


    Linda Ronstadt: The Sound of My Voice (CNN)


    Natalie Wood: What Remains Behind (HBO)


    The Elephant Queen (Apple TV+)

    MAJOR THREATS

    The Great Hack (Netflix)


    Laurel Canyon (Epix)


    St. Louis Superman (MTV)


    A Secret Love (Netflix)


    American Experience: McCarthy (PBS)


    I Love You, Now Die: The Commonwealth v. Michelle Carter (HBO)

    POSSIBILITIES

    The Black Godfather (Netflix)


    Who Killed Garrett Phillips? (HBO)


    The Apollo (HBO)


    Dolphin Reef (Disney+)


    Elephant (Disney+)


    AKA Jane Roe (FX)

    LONG SHOTS

    Circus of Books (Netflix)


    Garth Brooks: The Road I’m On (A&E)


    Scandalous: The Untold Story of the National Enquirer (CNN)


    Halston (CNN)


    Very Ralph (HBO)


    Jonas Brothers: Chasing Happiness (Amazon)

  • 'The Cave'

    ‘The Cave’

    Courtesy of National Geographic

    FRONTRUNNERS

    American Factory (Netflix)


    Apollo 11 (CNN)


    The Edge of Democracy (Netflix)


    The Cave (NatGeo)


    For Sama (PBS)

    MAJOR THREATS

    Independent Lens: One Child Nation (PBS)


    Sea of Shadows (NatGeo)


    The Kingmaker (Showtime)

    POSSIBILITIES

    Ask Dr. Ruth (Hulu)


    Moonlight Sonata: Deafness In Three Movements (HBO)

    LONG SHOTS

    Tell Me Who I Am (Netflix)


    Rolling Thunder Revue (Netflix)









































































































































































































































































































































































































































































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