Chances playoff

What are the Reds playoff chances entering the final series? –

Tonight is the beginning of the final series of the year for the Cincinnati Reds. They’ll begin a 3-game series against the first place Minnesota Twins in Minnesota. Currently the Reds are in 3rd place in the National League Central division, a half-game back of the St. Louis Cardinals for second place. Cincinnati is also the current #7 seed in the wild card standings, a half-game ahead of the San Francisco Giants, Philadelphia Phillies, and the Milwaukee Brewers.

For the Reds, there is still work to be done, but they finally control their own destiny. If they win out, they would finish 32-28. Neither the Phillies or Brewers can finish better than 31-29, while the Giants could also finish at 32-28 if they were to win out. The tiebreakers can all be viewed here if you would really like to take a deep dive into how things could play out. Ultimately, the tiebreakers would come down to either head-to-head match ups, intradivisional records, or intradivisonal records over the last 20 intradivisional games.

So, with three days left in the regular season, what are the odds of making the playoffs for all of the teams that are still contending for a playoff spot? Well, let’s take a look and see what the various publications (Fangraphs, Baseball Reference, Baseball Prospectus, FiveThirtyEight) – who use different methodology – have to say about it:

Team W L FG BR BP 538
Cardinals 28 26 86.9% 75.3% 88.0% 90.0%
Marlins 29 28 90.7% 86.6% 84.4% 93.0%
Reds 29 28 88.1% 82.9% 80.0% 91.0%
Giants 28 28 47.0% 72.6% 67.1% 44.0%
Phillies 28 29 51.0% 52.8% 48.3% 54.0%
Brewers 27 29 33.8% 27.9% 30.3% 26.0%
Mets 26 31 2.2% 1.7% 1.5% 1.0%
Rockies 25 31 0.4% 0.2% 0.4%

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Chances Comet

Chances to see Comet NEOWISE are fading fast – WDIV ClickOnDetroit

Comet will be visible in dark skies, away from city lights

Comet NEOWISE in early July 2src2src
Comet NEOWISE in early July 2020 (NASA)

If you haven’t seen Comet NEOWISE yet, time is running out. 

Even though the comet will be closest to Earth tonight (Thursday night), it’s actually already fainter than it was last week because it has been moving away from the sun since earlier in the month.

It’s still visible to the naked eye, but only from dark skies, away from city lights. And you have to wait until well after sunset when skies are actually dark (probably between 10 and 10:30 p.m.), since the faint comet will not be visible in the evening twilight. Binoculars will give you a much better view!

This short video shows you where to look:

Comets are the ultimate heavenly highlight for me, because they are pristine, big chunks of dust, ice and gases left over from the formation of our solar system! 

We don’t see comets too often so, when we get the chance, it’s pretty special.  

As comets get closer to the sun, some of the ice melts and gases in the comet sublimate. So, as the comet streaks through space, dust and gas form a ball around the nucleus (called the coma), and the tail that we see (actually, most comets have two tails — one dust tail, and one gas tail, which is the more difficult one to see).

And here’s something special for you. Ever wonder what a comet looks like up close and personal?  Well, there’s a spacecraft for that. Its name is Rosetta, and it flew to Comet 67P, orbited it, and then deployed a lander, named Philae, onto the surface!  Here are a couple of photos of Comet 67P — one from Rosetta in orbit, and another from Philae on the surface!

Comet 67P
Comet 67P (NASA)
Rosetta Image
Rosetta Image (NASA)

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